No Saharan Dust Surges Forecast For T&T Over Next 7 Days

While no significant surges of Saharan Dust are forecast to move across Trinidad and Tobago and the remainder of the Lesser Antilles over the next seven days, a major dust storm is affecting parts of northwestern Africa, with the westward-moving dust plume set to move into the Atlantic Ocean this week.

Significant dust moving across northwestern Africa on Monday afternoon into the evening (RAMMB/CIRA)
Significant dust moving across northwestern Africa on Monday afternoon into the evening (RAMMB/CIRA)

Forecast models indicate that the resulting plumes of dust will generally stay north of the Lesser Antilles by next weekend, with the southern portion of the dust plume staying generally east of the Lesser Antilles over the next week.

What you need to know

— Saharan Dust Surges: There are no surges of Saharan Dust forecast to move across Trinidad and Tobago over the next seven days.
What Should You Do: Sensitive groups should continue to take the necessary precautions, particularly during high traffic and in the vicinity of fires.

Current AQI Levels Across T&T

As of 6:00 PM March 30th, 2026, all official air quality monitoring stations from the Environmental Management Agency (EMA) are not reporting PM2.5 (particulates smaller than 2.5 micrometers in size, typically associated with increases in Saharan Dust, vehicle exhaust, and smoke) and PM10 particulate data.

However, unofficial air quality monitoring stations in Longdenville and Woodbrook report good air quality.

Outside of rainfall, visibility, used as a proxy for Saharan Dust concentrations, is 10 kilometers at both A.N.R. Robinson International Airport in Crown Point, Tobago, and Piarco International Airport in Piarco, Trinidad.

Editor’s note: The EMA’s air quality dashboard has not been reporting PM2.5 or PM10 particulate data for some time due to equipment upgrades. Although the EMA’s dashboard may show good air quality during this week, the data are based on carbon monoxide, ozone, nitrous oxide, and sulphur dioxide measurements, not on Saharan Dust particulates.

Saharan Dust Forecast For T&T

Air quality forecast for Trinidad and Tobago, based on Saharan Dust concentrations over the next seven days.

March 31st-April 6th: Little to no Saharan Dust across T&T. Air quality level at good. Horizontal visibility is unaffected. Localized air quality will be degraded in the vicinity of fires and blowing smoke.

00Z Monday, March 30th, 2026, NASA GEOS-5 Dust Extinction Monitoring Tropical Atlantic Dust Aerosol Optical Depth showing Saharan Dust. (Weathermodels.com)

What does this mean for you?

Over the next seven days, air quality across Trinidad and Tobago will generally be good. However, with drier conditions increasing the risk of fires, air quality may be further reduced locally in areas affected by fires, smoke, dust, and high traffic.

We’ve entered a period in which a ridge of high pressure remains over the central Sahara Desert, while the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) remains over the Gulf of Guinea, extending southwestward to Brazil. The Harmattan wind (see below) accelerates when it blows across the mountain massifs of Northwest Africa. If its speed is high enough and it blows over dust source regions, it lifts and disperses the dust.

The Harmattan Winds over Central & Western Africa (Source)
The Harmattan Winds over Central & Western Africa (Source)

The dust surges during this time of year are due to the Harmattan, a season across the West African subcontinent that occurs between the end of November and the middle of March. During this season, a predominant northeasterly trade wind (dubbed the Harmattan Winds) blows from the Sahara Desert over Western Africa into the Gulf of Guinea.

Dust that reaches the upper levels of the atmosphere can then be transported across the Atlantic Ocean and affect the Eastern Caribbean. These Saharan Dust outbreaks tend to be milder in the Eastern Caribbean.

Climatological average of Saharan Dust cover across the Main Development Region of the Atlantic Ocean, east of Trinidad and Tobago. (Photo: Michael Lowry/NASA)
Climatological average of Saharan Dust cover across the Main Development Region of the Atlantic Ocean, east of Trinidad and Tobago. (Photo: Michael Lowry/NASA)

Larger, more concentrated plumes of Saharan dust begin in April and continue through November.

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