Potentially Hazardous Seas Forecast Into The Upcoming Weekend

As we progress into the weekend, low-level winds and long-period swells are forecast to increase, creating potentially hazardous conditions in nearshore areas and open waters as seas become agitated.

Latest Alert

Adverse Weather Alert Discontinued For T&T

The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) has discontinued the Adverse Weather Alert for Trinidad and Tobago. — What has happened: Fast-moving showers and thunderstorms affected…

Trinidad and Tobago is NOT under any tropical storm or hurricane threat, watch, or warning at this time.

Seas Forecast For Trinidad and Tobago

Sea state through the next seven days as generally moderate to occasionally rough seas are forecast. Note that sheltered areas include bays, beaches, and generally, the Gulf of Paria and western areas of the Columbus Channel in Trinidad and the western coasts of Tobago. Open waters are the Atlantic Ocean (Eastern Trinidad and Tobago), the Eastern Columbus Channel (Southern Trinidad), and the Caribbean Sea (north of Trinidad, west of Tobago).
Sea state through the next seven days as generally moderate to occasionally rough seas are forecast. Note that sheltered areas include bays, beaches, and generally, the Gulf of Paria and western areas of the Columbus Channel in Trinidad and the western coasts of Tobago. Open waters are the Atlantic Ocean (Eastern Trinidad and Tobago), the Eastern Columbus Channel (Southern Trinidad), and the Caribbean Sea (north of Trinidad, west of Tobago).

Wednesday into Thursday: Seas are forecast to be moderate in open waters, with waves generally between 1.5 and 2.0 meters. In sheltered areas, waves are forecast to be near 1.0 meter and occasionally choppy, mainly in or near heavy showers/thunderstorms. Swell periods are forecast to range between 8 and 11 seconds. Winds are forecast to range between 15 to 20 knots from the east-northeast to east-southeast, gusting up to 25 knots, especially near showers or thunderstorms. Spring tides are forecast to end on Thursday.

Friday through Sunday: Seas are forecast to be moderate to occasionally rough in open waters with waves between 2.0 and 2.5 meters, occasionally reaching as high as 3.0 meters, mainly offshore northeastern Trinidad and east of Tobago. In sheltered areas, waves are forecast to be near 1.5 meters and choppy due to a combination of elevated winds and long-period swells. Swell periods are forecast to range between 11 and 15 seconds, peaking on Saturday. Winds are forecast to range between 15 to 20 knots from the southeast to northeast, gusting to 30 knots in heavy showers or thunderstorms.

Monday into Tuesday: Seas are forecast to be moderate in open waters, with waves generally between 1.5 and 2.0 meters, occasionally above on Monday. In sheltered areas, waves are forecast to be near 1.0 meter and occasionally choppy, mainly in or near heavy showers/thunderstorms. On Monday, swell periods are forecast to range between 8 and 13 seconds, coming down between 8 and 11 seconds on Tuesday. Winds are forecast to range between 10 to 15 knots from the northeast to southeast, gusting up to 20 knots, especially near showers or thunderstorms.

Tidal forecast for Port of Spain, Trinidad (above) and Scarborough, Tobago (below) courtesy Tide-Forecast.com
Tidal forecast for Port of Spain, Trinidad (above) and Scarborough, Tobago (below) courtesy Tide-Forecast.com
Tidal forecast for Port of Spain, Trinidad (above) and Scarborough, Tobago (below) courtesy Tide-Forecast.com

Possible Impacts

Saharan Dust concentrations are forecast to be present during the forecast period but are not expected to affect visibility significantly.

Long-period swells from the north will require additional caution from beachgoers and marine interests, particularly during high tide periods due to increased risks of rip currents and larger near-shore waves.

Additionally, with moderate to strong low-level winds, open-water seas are forecast to become occasionally rough Friday through Sunday. Rough seas are hazardous to small craft. Marine interests must exercise extreme caution if operating in open waters this weekend.

Long-period swells produce high-energy waves near coastlines, resulting in larger, battering waves that can cause minor coastal flooding, beach erosion, and potentially hazardous beach and marine conditions.

Note that a Hazardous Seas Alert may be issued by the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service later this week into the weekend for marine areas of T&T. Specifically, northern and northeastern coastlines of Trinidad and Tobago and north-facing coastlines within the Gulf of Paria will experience long-period swells and high-energy waves from Thursday evening. Strong low-level winds will agitate seas across mainly eastern and northern open waters.

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