Adverse Weather Alert In Effect For T&T As Tropical Disturbance Stays North

Invest 99L, a well-defined tropical wave that is being monitored by the National Hurricane Center for development, is forecast to pass well north of T&T on Sunday. However, with high moisture, light winds, and the potential for slow-moving showers and thunderstorms, the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service has issued an Adverse Weather Alert for T&T and surrounding waters.

However, all forecast models indicate isolated activity affecting mainly the western areas of both islands on Sunday, with additional scattered activity beyond the alert period early Monday morning and again during the early afternoon.

Tropical Weather Outlook from the National Hurricane Center for Invest 99L, a tropical wave east of the Lesser Antilles, as of 8:00 AM Sunday, August 24th, 2025.
Tropical Weather Outlook from the National Hurricane Center for Invest 99L, a tropical wave east of the Lesser Antilles, as of 8:00 AM Sunday, August 24th, 2025.

At present, Invest 99L has been given medium chances for tropical cyclone development over the next 48 hours and seven days, respectively, with heavy showers and gusty winds likely to affect north of Barbados to Antigua.

What you need to know

— Rainfall: On Sunday, most areas will see little rainfall, with southwestern Trinidad, localized areas of western and northern Trinidad, as well as western areas of Tobago receiving between 15 and 25 millimeters in localized heavy showers and thunderstorms. Elsewhere, less than 10 millimeters is forecast in isolated areas. However, beyond the alert period and through Monday, an additional 25 millimeters of rainfall is forecast mainly across the northern half of Trinidad and across Tobago, with isolated higher amounts.
— Hazards: Localized heavy showers or thunderstorms are likely to lead to street or flash flooding, with gusty winds possible up to 45 km/h. Particularly in eastern and northwestern areas, landslides are possible in elevated areas due to relatively saturated soils. With light (and veering) winds through the atmosphere on Monday (beyond the alert), funnel clouds are possible, favoring western and southern areas of Trinidad and Tobago. In isolated strong thunderstorms, frequent lightning is likely, favoring western Trinidad into the Gulf of Paria.

A radar loop across Trinidad and Tobago over the last 3 hours shows diminishing showers and isolated thunderstorms across the area.
A radar loop across Trinidad and Tobago over the last 3 hours shows diminishing showers and isolated thunderstorms across the area.

Latest Alerts

Trinidad and Tobago is NOT under any tropical storm or hurricane threat, watch, or warning at this time.

The Adverse Weather Alert

The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service issued an Adverse Weather Alert (Yellow Level) on Sunday, August 24th, 2025, for Trinidad, Tobago, and surrounding waters at 9:14 AM. The late-notice alert went into effect from 9:20 AM Sunday (today) through 5:00 PM. Impactful weather is likely to occur beyond this alert period due to additional moisture and instability flowing across T&T associated with the ITCZ and a trailing low-level convergence on Monday.

Adverse Weather Alert information from the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service
Adverse Weather Alert information from the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service

According to the TTMS, this “alert” status considers the possibility of the event occurring. This adverse weather event is likely, and the following are likely, according to the TTMS:

  • There is a high chance (70%) of isolated heavy showers and thunderstorm activity associated with the passage of a Tropical Wave located near 56W to 57W @ 0800am today (Sunday, 24th August 2025).
  • The most impactful weather is expected, but not confined to, eastern Trinidad and then Tobago from as early as 10:00 AM.
  • Impacts include temporary traffic disruptions, street/flash flooding, localized ponding, and gusty winds near heavy downpours.
  • These winds may displace loose outdoor items, agitate the sea, and topple unstable trees.
  • Landslides and Land slips are possible in areas prone.
  • These conditions and impacts are not expected to be continuous over the period.

The alert’s color indicates the severity of the event and the probability of its occurrence. Currently, the alert level is Yellow. This means that the hazards are likely, and the severity of the impacts is moderate for this particular alert. You should be aware of the hazards in your area, which are primarily associated with street or flash flooding, gusty winds exceeding 45km/h, possibly falling trees, landslides, and agitated seas.

A moderate Adverse Weather Alert can result in possible injuries and behavioral changes, which are necessary to ensure safety. Minor property damage may also occur, temporarily disrupting income-earning activities and affecting several communities.

The Met Office advises securing loose outdoor objects. Take necessary precautions to mitigate potential impacts. Monitor official weather updates. Do not venture into flood waters.

This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is AlertLevel_ImpactSeverity-1024x491.jpg
Image Credit: Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service
This image has an empty alt attribute; its file name is YELLOW-LEVEL.png

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