Tropical Storm Watch At Orange Level For Trinidad

As Hurricane Beryl continues to near the Windward Islands, the Government of Trinidad and Tobago has placed Trinidad under a Tropical Storm Watch, while Tobago remains under a Hurricane Warning. However, this watch has now been upgraded from Yellow Level to Orange Level, as the certainty of impacts increased from possible to likely.

For Trinidad, this means that tropical storm conditions, including sustained winds and gusts of 63-118 KM/H, are possible within the watch area in the next 15 hours.

As of 5:00 PM today, Hurricane Beryl was located near 11.1°N 56.5°W, approximately 450 kilometers east-southeast of Tobago, moving westward near 33 KM/H.

What you need to know

— Rainfall: Through Thursday morning, across Trinidad, rainfall accumulations between 25 and 50 millimeters are likely, while across Tobago, accumulations between 25 and 75 millimeters are likely, with isolated totals favoring the northern half of Trinidad and Tobago exceeding 150 millimeters, particularly where feeder band activity develops.
Hazards For Trinidad: A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm-force winds (63-118 km/h) are possible, in this case, within 15 hours. Several hazards are forecast. According to the TTMS, “Wind gusts exceeding 55 KM/H may be experienced ahead of Beryl from this evening. Heavier rainfall and thunderstorm activity are anticipated near midnight.” Based on the current forecast model guidance, heavy rainfall, and stronger winds are likely to affect Trinidad in outer bands, mainly across the northern half of the island, from Sunday night through Monday afternoon. Locally intense rainfall is likely to produce street/flash flooding with frequent lightning in intense thunderstorm activity. Landslides are possible in elevated areas, particularly in northern Trinidad. Funnel cloud activity is possible on Monday afternoon across Trinidad.
— Marine: According to the TTMS, “From 6:00 PM this evening, there is a high chance (70%) of hazardous seas with large, battering waves. Mariners should expect wave heights to increase significantly, posing a danger to small craft and coastal and offshore activities. Strong currents and choppy seas will make navigation hazardous.” Hazardous conditions are possible in the Gulf of Paria from Monday through Tuesday, while northern and eastern waters are forecast to see rough seas from Sunday night through Tuesday morning, with waves as high as 5.0 meters.

Latest Alert

Adverse Weather Alert Discontinued For T&T

The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) has discontinued the Adverse Weather Alert for Trinidad and Tobago. — What has happened: Fast-moving showers and thunderstorms affected…

Trinidad and Tobago is NOT under any tropical storm or hurricane threat, watch, or warning at this time.

The Tropical Storm Watch

The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service has upgraded the Tropical Storm Watch from Yellow Level to Orange Level at 4:59 PM Sunday. According to the TTMS, this watch will remain in effect for Trinidad until 12:00 PM (noon) on Monday, July 1st, 2024.

Tropical Storm Watch information from the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service
Tropical Storm Watch information from the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service

“A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Trinidad. This means that tropical storm conditions, including sustained winds of 63-118 KM/H, are possible within the watch area in the next 15 hours. As of 5:00 PM, Hurricane Beryl was centered near 11.1N 56.5W, approximately 450 KM east-southeast of Tobago. Beryl is moving westward at a speed of 33 KM/H. There is still a medium chance (35-55%) of sustained tropical storm force winds affecting Trinidad, particularly in the northern and eastern areas, from early morning on Monday, 1st July. From 6 pm this evening, there is a high chance (70%) of hazardous seas with large, battering waves. Mariners should expect wave heights to increase significantly, posing a danger to small craft and coastal and offshore activities. Strong currents and choppy seas will make navigation hazardous. Wind gusts exceeding 55 KM/H may be experienced ahead of Beryl from this evening. Heavier rainfall and thunderstorm activity are anticipated near midnight. The next update will be issued at 8:00 PM or earlier if necessary. according to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service.

Why am I under a tropical storm watch or warning?

A tropical storm warning is an announcement that sustained winds of 34 to 63 knots (39 to 73 mph or 63 to 118 km/hr) are expected somewhere within the specified area within 36 hours in association with a tropical, subtropical, or post-tropical cyclone.

A tropical storm watch is an announcement that sustained winds of 34 to 63 knots (39 to 73 mph or 63 to 118 km/hr) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours in association with a tropical, subtropical, or post-tropical cyclone.

This specific watch or warning is based on the potential for experiencing tropical-storm-force winds alone, not the other hazards associated with a tropical storm (hazardous seas, torrential rainfall, etc.). This means if the system tracks close to your country, but the strongest winds remain offshore or north/east of your location, you may not be placed under a tropical storm watch or warning, but you may have other advisories in effect.

The color of the watch indicates the severity of the event and the probability of the event occurring. Currently, the watch level is orange. This means that the hazards are likely, and the severity of impacts is severe for this particular watch. For the island of Trinidad, the public should prepare for the hazards associated with strong winds and gusts of tropical-storm-force strength, street/flash flooding, frequent lightning in thunderstorms, and landslides. Seas will also become hazardous, and mariners should prepare for large waves in nearshore areas, particularly Atlantic-facing coastlines.

At an Orange Level, there is a high risk to public safety, livelihoods and property with hazardous conditions threatening lives, livelihoods, and property. According to the TTMS guidance on their Early Warning System, at this level, serious injuries or casualties are possible if you do not prepare.

The TTMS says severe impacts are possible. This means that conditions may result in the loss of a single life or serious injuries, physical defenses are needed, major losses in confined areas, and income earning impossible for several days, with several communities being affected. External help is needed for recovery.

The TTMS is advising the public in Trinidad to prepare for the possibility of tropical storm conditions and secure loose outdoor objects and livestock; marine interests should exercise extra caution during this period, with all marine vessels properly secured and anchored. The public should also monitor official news sources and weather updates.

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Image Credit: Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service
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