Tobago Remains Under Hurricane Warning, Extreme Impacts Likely

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Tobago ahead of Hurricane Beryl, which has rapidly strengthened into a Category 4 Hurricane. Its maximum sustained winds are 215 KM/H with higher gusts.

According to the TTMS, this upgrade to a Hurricane Warning means there is a higher potential for hurricane conditions, including sustained winds in excess of 100 km/h, within the warning area, within the next 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Trinidad.

As Beryl approaches the southern Windwards on Monday, there is a high chance (70-80%) of hurricane-force winds impacting Tobago from early Monday morning. Heavy showers and thunderstorms are likely from midnight tonight, and sea conditions will become choppy and rough.

As of 12:00 PM, Hurricane Beryl was located near 10.0°N 55.9°W, approximately 640 kilometers east-southeast of Tobago, moving westward near 34 KM/H.

What you need to know

— Rainfall: Through the night of July 3rd, 2024, overall rainfall accumulations across the country are forecast to range from 15 to 50 millimeters across Trinidad, with isolated totals up to 125 millimeters in areas where feeder bands develop. In isolated areas, totals may reach as high as 175 millimeters, favoring Tobago.
Hazards: Hurricane conditions with sustained winds of 74 MPH or 119 KM/H greater are expected within 24 hours across Tobago. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered. Several hazards are forecast. In heavy showers/thunderstorms across both islands, there is the risk of gusty winds exceeding 55 KM/H, with winds across Tobago (both gusts and sustained winds) likely to exceed 100 KM/H. Locally intense rainfall is likely to produce street/flash flooding with frequent lightning in intense thunderstorm activity. Landslides are possible in elevated areas, particularly in northern Trinidad and across Tobago. Funnel cloud activity is possible on Monday afternoon across Trinidad and hazardous seas.
Marine: Hazardous conditions are possible in the Gulf of Paria from Monday through Tuesday, while northern and eastern waters are forecast to see rough seas from Sunday night through Tuesday morning, with waves as high as 4.5 meters.

Latest Alert

Adverse Weather Alert Discontinued for T&T

The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service (TTMS) has discontinued the Adverse Weather Alert for Trinidad and Tobago as conditions gradually settle. — What has happened: Periods of rain,…

Trinidad and Tobago is NOT under any tropical storm or hurricane threat, watch, or warning at this time.

The Hurricane Warning

The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service, in conjunction with the National Hurricane Center, has upgraded the Tropical Storm Warning to a Hurricane Warning on Sunday morning at 8:00 AM. According to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service, this Warning will remain in effect until 12:00 PM (noon) on Monday, July 1st, 2024.

Hurricane Warning information from the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service

“A Hurricane Warning is in effect for Tobago. This means there is a higher potential for hurricane conditions, including sustained winds in excess of 100 km/h, within the warning area, in this case within the 24 hours. As of 11 am today, Hurricane Beryl was located near 10.7°N 54.9°W, approximately 640km east-southeast of Tobago, moving westward near 34 km/h. As Beryl approaches the southern Windwards on Monday, there is a high chance (70-80%) of hurricane-force winds impacting Tobago from early Monday morning. Heavy showers and thunderstorms are likely from midnight tonight, and sea conditions will become choppy and rough. The next update will be at 2 pm today (Sunday 30th June 2024) or earlier if necessary.” according to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service. This “warning” status takes into account the possibility of the event occurring. This weather event is likely.

Why am I under a Hurricane Watch or Warning?

A Hurricane Warning is an announcement that sustained winds greater than 74 MPH or 119 KM/H are expected somewhere within the specified area within 36 hours in association with a tropical, subtropical, or post-tropical cyclone.

A Hurricane Watch is an announcement that sustained winds of greater than 74 MPH or 119 KM/H are possible within the specified area within 48 hours in association with a tropical, subtropical, or post-tropical cyclone.

This specific watch or warning is based on the potential for experiencing hurricane-force winds alone, not the other hazards associated with a hurricane (hazardous seas, torrential rainfall, etc.). This means if the system tracks close to your country, but the strongest winds remain offshore or north/east of your location, you may not be placed under a Hurricane watch or warning, but you may have other advisories in effect.

The color of the warning indicates the severity of the event and the probability of the event occurring. Currently, the warnng level is orange. This means that the hazards are likely, but the severity of impacts is extreme for this particular warning. You should be prepared for the hazards in your area associated mainly with strong, damaging winds and gusts, street and flash flooding, landslides, as well as frequent lightning. Seas will also become hazardous, and mariners should prepare for large waves in nearshore areas, particularly Atlantic-facing coastlines, as well as life-threatening storm surge.

For an orange-level Hurricane Warning, there is a very high risk to public safety, livelihoods, and property. Dangerous conditions are imminent. There is a very high potential for multiple lives to be lost and major damage to property and infrastructure. Serious injuries or casualties are possible if you do not prepare.

A extreme Hurricane Warning means that the event may result in the loss of multiple lives, with widespread catastrophic loss for exposed population, income earning is likely to become impossible for weeks, with island-wide devastation possible.

Take immediate action to protect their lives, livelihoods, and property. Preparations need to be rushed to completion in Tobago. Take immediate action to protect their lives, livelihoods, and property. Shelter in place or evacuate to a safe location if your home is unsafe or vulnerable to flooding or wind damage. Secure food, water, and medicine for at least 7 days in waterproof containers. Outdoor drains should be clear, and loose objects should be secured by now. Sandbags should be near all entrances to your home. Monitor official news sources. Do not wade or drive through flood waters. Preposition sandbags if your area floods and monitor river levels.

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Image Credit: Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service
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