At 11:54 AM Friday, July 7th, 2023, the University of the West Indies Seismic Research Centre (UWI SRC) recorded a light earthquake of magnitude 4.4 (mt) northwest of Trinidad. While shaking was reported across the country, there were no reports of damage or injuries at this time.
The preliminary location was placed on land in northwestern Trinidad, but with additional data, it was relocated northwest of the country. This is a normal practice when additional data is received.
The earthquake was located at 61.830°W and 11.270°N, approximately 76 kilometers northwest of Port of Spain, Trinidad, and Tobago. The event was located at a depth of 39.6 kilometers.
This information has been reviewed by the UWI SRC, the authority for seismic and volcanological information in the English-speaking Eastern Caribbean. Quake parameters may change upon further review by an analyst at the UWI SRC.
Weak to light shaking has been reported across Trinidad, western Tobago, Grenada, and northeastern Venezuela, with a quick, short jolt lasting no more than a few seconds. You can submit felt reports to the University of the West Indies Seismic Research Centre.
There was no tsunami threat.
There are four conditions necessary for an earthquake to cause a tsunami:
- The earthquake must occur beneath the ocean or cause material to slide within or into the ocean.
- The earthquake must be strong, with at least a magnitude of 6.5.
- The earthquake must rupture the Earth’s surface, and it must occur at a shallow depth – less than 70 kilometers below the surface of the Earth.
- The earthquake must cause vertical movement of the seafloor (up to several meters).
None of these conditions occurred.
Note that different seismic monitoring agencies use different methods, or several methods, for processing quake parameters across the globe. Each method has its limitations and will likely produce different results within the range of the data’s uncertainty. This is generally accepted within the scientific community.
The United States Geological Survey (USGS) also recorded this quake in a similar location to the UWI SRC, at a slightly larger magnitude of 4.9 (mb), at a deeper depth of 84.6 kilometers.
The Venezuelan Foundation for Seismological Research (FUNVISIS) recorded this earthquake at a magnitude of 4.4 (Mw) in a similar location to the UWI SRC at a shallower depth.
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Earthquake Magnitude & Intensity
Can earthquakes be predicted or forecasted?
Seismic zone one is a complex and, without a doubt, the most seismically active area near Trinidad. According to the UWI SRC, this area is the second most seismically active area in the Eastern Caribbean and has generated major-great earthquakes in historic times.
The 1766 magnitude 7.9 event, estimated to have been located in this area, destroyed the then Capital of San José. The 1888 magnitude 7.5 event was damaging from Trinidad to St. Vincent. The largest event for the instrumental period, i.e., since 1952, occurred on September 20th, 1968, and was of magnitude 7.0. Significant damage was caused in Venezuela, and Trinidad, where there was damage in Port of Spain.
In this area, the South American plate is beginning to rapidly descend into the Earth’s mantle as the detached oceanic lithosphere exists at depths between 50 to 300 kilometers within zone one. (Russo et al. 1993).
At shallower levels, the North Coast Fault Zone and the El Pilar Fault, part of the Boconó-San Sebastian-El Pilar Fault system, run across Zone 1. These fault systems compensate for the stress built up as the Caribbean plate slides past the South American plate. Hence, most of these earthquakes from these fault systems are shallow to moderate depths between 0 to 70 kilometers.
The UWI SRC says approximately 65 events of magnitude 2.1 and above are located in the area annually.
Within 20 kilometers of Friday morning’s earthquake, there have been over 600 events recorded in the last 70 years. Based on these records, Friday’s earthquake was the second strongest (by magnitude) since modern records began within 20 kilometers of the epicenter. The largest event was a magnitude 4.7 quake on January 10th, 1979. Generally, earthquakes in this area occur between 0 and 166 kilometers below the surface, with most occurring between 0 and 25 kilometers.
Has there been an increase in seismic activity?
Trinidad and Tobago and the surrounding region are very seismically active. Across the Eastern Caribbean, over 2,200 earthquakes are recorded annually. Since 1990, the University of the West Indies Seismic Research Centre records an annual average of 280 earthquakes in the Trinidad and Tobago region (area bounded by 9.5°- 11.5°N & 59.5°W – 63.5°W). Of these 280 quakes, 50 of these seismic events are, on average, above magnitude 3.5.
Most earthquakes occur northwest of Trinidad in an area known as North of the Paria Peninsula, which has the second-highest seismicity in the Eastern Caribbean. According to the UWI SRC, approximately 65 events of magnitude 2.1 and above are located in the area annually.
However, the UWI SRC has said regional seismic and volcanic activity has been elevated for several years in their annual report for 2020 to 2021.
On average, the Eastern Caribbean has seen a pattern of major (M7.0-M7.9) quakes every 20 to 30 years. That pattern has stayed true. The last major (M7.0-7.9) quake occurred north of Martinique in 2007.
Historical patterns indicate that great quakes (M8.0+) on the Richter Scale have occurred every century in the region. The probability of another event at that level is high since the last >M8.0 earthquake occurred in 1843. While it is impossible to say definitively when the next great quake would occur in the region, the time since the last one is now more than 170 years ago.
It is important to note seismic activity *cannot* be predicted – meaning the precise time, date, magnitude, depth, etc., cannot be known ahead of time based on current research and technology.
Now is the time to create or go over your earthquake preparedness plan and know what to do during, before, and after an earthquake.
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In our region, earthquakes can strike at any time and any place, so it is important to know how to keep yourself safe when one strikes.
