A tropical wave, Tropical Wave 51, is moving across the Lesser Antilles with a trough system and the ITCZ trailing. Stronger convection (showers, thunderstorms) are forecast predominantly affect eastern and southern Trinidad from the early morning hours, spreading across the country.
What you need to know
— Rainfall: Through the next 48 hours, isolated to scattered moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorms with periods of rain are forecast, favoring southern and eastern Trinidad, interrupting cloudy skies. Rainfall totals between 25 and 50 millimeters are forecast across both islands over the next 48 hours, with locally higher amounts exceeding 75 millimeters.
— Hazards: Street and flash flooding is very likely in heavier showers or thunderstorms. Wind gusts in excess of 45 KM/H accompanying heavy showers or thunderstorms are also possible during and ahead of heavy showers or thunderstorms. Localized wind damage, such as fallen trees, is possible. Lightning will accompany thunderstorms. Landslides are also possible, mainly across Tobago and northern Trinidad.
Latest Alerts
Flooding Continues To Subside As Riverine Flood Alert Discontinued
Adverse Weather Alert Discontinued. Showers, Thunderstorms Still In The Forecast
Trinidad and Tobago is NOT under any tropical storm or hurricane threat, watch, or warning at this time.
The Adverse Weather Alert
The Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service issued an Adverse Weather Alert (Yellow Level) on Wednesday at 2:32 PM. The alert goes into effect for Trinidad, Tobago, and surrounding marine areas from 2:00 AM Thursday, November 10th, 2022, and remains in effect through 4:00 PM Friday, November 11th, 2022.
Trinidad and Tobago is not under any tropical storm watch or warning at this time.
“A combination of features, including the ITCZ and low – level troughs, is expected to affect the region. Periods of rain and/or showers of varying intensities are expected, with a medium to high (60 – 70%) chance of heavy showers and thunderstorms that can produce intense rainfall in excess of 50mm. Street/flash flooding and localized ponding are also likely in heavy downpours. Landslides/landslips are also possible in susceptible areas, as the land is already saturated. Gusty winds in excess of 55 km/h may be experienced and seas can become agitated at times in sheltered areas,” according to the Trinidad and Tobago Meteorological Service. This “alert” status takes into account the possibility of the event occurring. This adverse weather event is likely.
The color of the alert indicates the severity of the event and the probability of the event occurring. Currently, the alert level is Yellow. This means that the hazards are likely, and the severity of the impacts is moderate for this particular alert. You should be aware of the hazards in your area associated mainly with gusty winds in excess of 55 KM/H, street, flash, and riverine flooding, landslides, as well as frequent lightning.
For a moderate Adverse Weather Alert, there is the potential for possible injuries, where behavioral changes are required to ensure safety. There may be minor damage to property, with income-earning temporarily disrupted and a couple of communities affected.
The Met Office is advising the public to monitor weather conditions and updates from official sources and not wade or drive through flood waters.
