Tropical Depression Eleven Poses No Threat To Lesser Antilles

On Wednesday morning, Tropical Depression Eleven formed in the central North Atlantic Ocean after a cluster of showers and thunderstorms persisted around an area of low pressure for the better part of four days.

However, after being classed as a depression for the last 12 hours, this low-pressure area has not become any better organized and is no longer forecast to become 2022’s next named tropical storm – Julia. Instead, the National Hurricane Center forecasts this system to remain a depression and gradually dissipate by Friday night.

Forecast cone from the National Hurricane Center for Hurricane Danielle as of 11:00 PM EST September 3rd, 2022.

According to the National Hurricane Center‘s latest 11:00 PM advisory on September 28th, the center of Tropical Depression Eleven was located near latitude 17.2°N and longitude 35.6°W. This places the system approximately 2,900 kilometers northeast of Trinidad and Tobago or 1,240 kilometers west of the Cabo Verde Islands. The system has a minimum central pressure of 1008 millibars and is forecast to move generally northwest to north-northwest until it dissipates by Friday night.

Little change in strength is forecast over the next two days as the overall environment becomes increasingly hostile to tropical cyclones. Currently, maximum sustained winds are near 55 KM/H with higher gusts.

Hurricane Danielle in the North Atlantic Ocean (RAMMB/CIRA)

There are no tropical storm watches or warnings in effect. In fact, On the current forecast track, Tropical Depression Eleven is not forecast to directly affect any landmasses over the next five days, with no hazards affecting land at this time. Tropical Depression Eleven is not forecast to affect Trinidad, Tobago, or the Lesser Antilles.

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